Post details: Stock Selection Part III

1 June 2007

Stock Selection Part III

Stock Picking
Well, I made my decision and subsequently I've bought 171 shares in Lloyds TSB at 576.3p each.

I felt that Lloyds offered the best investment because of the stability of the company (dividend has not fallen like United Utilities and the Chief Exec has not resigned like DSG International) plus, of course, it has the highest yield of the FTSE 100.

I also feel that by selling their registrars business, Lloyds TSB are focusing on the core financial services that they've laid out in their annual report and maybe some of the profits made from the sale could be be put in the shareholders pockets. I also think it is likely that Lloyds TSB shares will appreciate in value over the next few years.

Calculations
In total the shares cost me £985.47 (171 shares at £5.763 each).

Added to that are my broker's commission at £7 (per trade) and Stamp Duty at 0.05% of the purchase cost, which equated to £4.93. In all, the transaction cost £997.40 which, divided between the 171 shares, equals an actual cost of a fraction over £5.83 per share.

Assuming a dividend payment of 34.2p per share (as it has been for the previous 5 years), I should earn £58.48 gross per year from these shares. Dividend income is taxed at 10%, so that will actually be £52.63 net. That means a net yield of:

£52.63 / £997.40 x 100 = 5.28%

If I didn't take the commission and stamp duty into account, the net yield is:

£52.63 / £985.47 x 100 = 5.34%

Compared to a good savings account, the shares I have bought will have a better return. To earn 5.28% net from a savings account would require an interest rate of around 6.6% gross. Additionally, with savings, there is no chance that the capital will appreciate in value. By the same token, there is no risk that savings account funds will depreciate in value but I think investing in a large corporation like Lloyds TSB is a safe bet.

After one year, I would have earned around £47.88 had I put the £997.40 in my high interest IceSave savings account, compared to the £52.63 I will recieve from my Lloyds TSB shares in dividend yield. Over the long-term, reinvested dividends and capital growth should make the shares out-perform the savings account by a lot more.

Comments, Pingbacks:

Comment from: salam1 [Visitor] · http://www.money20.blogspot.com
Hi Arkad, I has been a while since I visited this blog.

You have gone far with the stock investing. I am one of stock investment fan too. I have bought stocks of very strong cash flow companies and companies which pay high dividend. Not an active investor me because I have limited time to focus on the stocks fluctuation. I try to mirror Warren Buffet investing method (I invest in Malaysia).

My opinion about market now: I think making good money through stock investing will not last long. Somehow and somewhen I think US stock market will collapse soon and other market will follow, US made many political and economical mistake lately (in short we can say not many country likes US anymore). Personally I will sell my stock soon and will invest in gold and if I have more I will buy a house.I really appreciate if you can comment on what I said above, I might be wrong, what do you think?

Good luck my friend. Feel free to visit my www.money20.blogspot.com . cheers! Salam1
Permalink 6 June 2007 @ 05:42
Comment from: Arkad [Member]
Hi Salam1,

I, too, like WB's investment strategy of buying into excellent companies and holding on to them forever. I hope to live off my portfolio some day!

I don't think the US stock market will collapse anytime soon. For that to happen I think that companies will need to suffer a great loss in profits and I don't see how that will happen on a grand scale. Perhaps there will be a temporary crash but, as Buffet says "that's a chance to acquire more of a good thing".

I briefly looked into investing in gold a while back and it is still an option I would consider. Gold tends to retain it's value through major economic downturns but there are obviously storage costs associated with it.

And property investment is something I am seriously considering. The capital growth of bricks and mortar in previous years is second to none and it is relatively simple to borrow money to buy property.

I had a quick look at your website and it looks very interesting - thanks for the blog review, by the way. I'm sure I've visited before but I can't remember when! I'll pop back a bit later and have a proper look at at it :)

Arkad
Permalink 6 June 2007 @ 07:53
Comment from: Steve [Visitor]
Did you consider investing through a Stocks and shares ISA to minimise tax?

How about investing in 'Funds' rather than 'shares' to spread risk?
Permalink 21 June 2007 @ 06:41
Comment from: Arkad [Member]
Hi Steve,

You raise some very good points :)

Unfortunately, I've already used my ISA allowance for the year because my previous mortgage was interest-only with an ISA fund designed to pay off the mortgage at the end of the term. But I'll certainly be looking at making the most of tax-free investments next year.

With regards funds, I'm personally not very keen on them. Although I appreciate that they offer diversification that I couldn't provide by myself and they are run by professionals, this comes at an additional cost.

Additionally, I wanted to be in full control of my investments and wanted to learn a bit about investing in the stock market. I figure that I'd done enough research to warrant my own stock selection.

I'm not sure I believe wholly in diversification anyway. I think if something is good investment and it can be obtained at a good price, why purchase something inferior as well to diversify?

Something that has just occurred to me is what if the firm that provides the fund goes bust? Surely there is as much chance of that as a firm that one owns shares in going bust, therefore negating the diversification advantage? Are funds covered by the FSA or have some other kind of protection?

I'd be grateful for your comment on this.

Arkad
Permalink 21 June 2007 @ 20:36

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